Bill Gurley, of Benchmark Capital, provides some interesting insights on the future of the Internet and major issues of the next 10 years. It’s a good article, covering several different topics, but one thing that really stands out is the potential of the cable companies “breaking” the net as we know it. The cable providers dominate broadband in the US. Bill speculates that they might find it in their best interest to limit and control what users can do with their Internet connection:
…It is quite easy for a cable company to insert a half-second delay in its IP network. This delay will go unnoticed by standard Web users but would quite negatively impact the quality of after-market VoIP clients like Skype and Vonage. This would allow the cable company to “charge” for its own voice services. In other words, customers would pay extra to have their IP network back.
That’s pretty scary stuff. Cable companies “breaking” Skype and open-SIP VoIP to make their own VoIP products look better. I wouldn’t put it past them.
…What’s more, over the past 12 months, Comcast has terminated the accounts of users who use more bandwidth than the company prefers. Lackluster support of the “open cable” initiative over the years offers further proof that cable companies want as much control over the user experience as possible.
The question is, will users let them get away with it. One wonders. Considering that most users think the Internet is web surfing and email, they just might.
I like Bill a lot. He is a smart guy and I encourage you to read the whole article.